KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 1 65%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 80.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 3:00 PMJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 165%
Volume trend
$0.00Jul 39d of dataJul 25
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If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
- If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
- If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
- Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
- If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.