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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

YearlyPoliticsUS Politics7mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Exactly 1
Exactly 1 65%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$30.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

64.0% / 80.0%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Dec 9, 25, 3:00 PMJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Exactly 165%

Rules

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

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Rules

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.