KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Exactly 1 · —
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Stored price
Exactly 1 85.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Exactly 1 85.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Exactly 1Spread
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Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Exactly 1
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWho will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Speaker of the House?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period. If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times). If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role. Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously. If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving. Vacancies do not count as individuals serving. Posthumous designations or honorary titles do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- Exactly 1
- If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.