Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastHakeem Jeffries 81.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
60
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 23, 10:46 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
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PolymarketWho will win the January 2027 Speaker of the House election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Mike Johnson was elected as the Speaker of the House today (October 15th).
- Who will be the next Speaker?
- Answer must be the full name of one individual.
- Any options added that are duplicates or too broad will be ignored.
- A new Speaker pro tempore would not count.