Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 27, 25, 6:55 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
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PolymarketHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Mike Johnson is removed from the position of Speaker of the House through a successful "motion to vacate" vote before January 1, 2027
- Mike Johnson resigns from the position of Speaker before January 1, 2027
- This market will resolve NO if:
- Mike Johnson remains Speaker through December 31, 2026