KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1.050M · —
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Stored price
Above 1.250M 48.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 1.250M 48.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$56.3
Open interest
$2.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 1.050MSpread
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Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingOct 20, 26, 10:40 PM UTCNov 18, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1.050M
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Housing Starts exceed 1,400,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,500,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,600,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
KalshiWill US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.250M, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for October 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the October 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the October 2026 Housing Starts value.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.050M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.050M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.100M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.100M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.150M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.150M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.200M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.200M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.250M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.250M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.300M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.300M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.350M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.350M, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.400M
- If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.400M, then the market resolves to Yes.