KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 7.30% · —
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Stored price
Above 7.36% 21.5%Market line of 19 lines
Above 7.36% 21.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 7.30%Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 7.30%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRules
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Freddie Mac
- The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 7.30%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.31%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.31%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.36%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.33%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.33%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.35%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.32%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.34%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.37%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.37%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.38%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.38%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.41%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.41%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.43%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.43%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.40%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.42%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.42%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.39%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.39%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.44%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.44%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.45%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.45%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.46%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.46%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.47%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.47%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.48%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.48%, then the market resolves to Yes.