Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of October 22, 2026.

When does Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030? resolve?

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

How is Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point between June 13, 2024 and December 31, 2030, the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index experiences a drop of 20% or more from its previous peak value.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

• Hike 25bps-3.0pt81.5%
• Maintains rate-1.0pt16.5%
• Hike >25bps1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$510.7K

24h Vol

$41.3K

KALSHI

Brent crude oil price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

• Above $98.99+7.0pt98.5%
• Above $102.99+23.0pt98%
• Above $104.99+24.0pt

KALSHI

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

• Above 26097.5%
• Above 27096.5%
• Above 28090%

KALSHI

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

• Above 2,000 units95.5%
• Above 2,500 units83.5%
• Above 3,000 units61.5%

KALSHI

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

• Above 8.4 million TEUs95.5%
• Above 8.5 million TEUs94.5%
• Above 8.6 million TEUs+1.0pt89.5%

KALSHI

US refinery utilization in November

• Above 94%56.5%
• Above 92%58.5%
• Above 90%-7.0pt68%

• How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
• US used cars and trucks CPI for October
• Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
• 30-year mortgage rate this week
• Will the S&P finish positive this year?
• Visitors to Florida in 2026
• Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
• Sweden rate decision in November
• How low will the S&P get this year?
• How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
• How high will the S&P get this year?
• What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?