Current community forecast
No 81.9%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 17, 22, 10:38 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiWill Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves "yes" if three or more business lines are consolidated.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $636.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.2%
- Before March 202717.1%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027 resolve?
- Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves "yes" if three or more business lines are consolidated.