Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? resolve?

Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Oct 14, 5:08pm: Must be obviously him (no fake accounts pls). ie he reposts on his twitter or something

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,500 or above+2.0pt98.5%
• $70,000 or above98.5%
• $71,500 or above-1.0pt95.5%

+47 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.8M

24h Vol

$1.3M

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?

• Detroit+43.0pt99.5%
• Milwaukee+48.0pt99.5%
• Austin+46.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 320-339+16.5pt54.5%
• 340-359+16.1pt35.6%
• 300-319-17.4pt5.9%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.9914.9%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.1pt14.9%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-1.6pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.6pt98%
• Anthropic-1.4pt1%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+7.7pt53%
• Claude-9.5pt35%
• ChatGPT+1.3pt

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• How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?