LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 4:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
December 31, 2029 23.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31, 2029 23.5%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 1:14 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.
- The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic.
- A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
