PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 99%
No 99%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21.7
Liquidity
$57.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$18.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
13
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 6:10 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NATO dissolves by 2028
Manifold MarketsEU dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty. 3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
