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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 5%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$263.5

Liquidity

$24.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.4% / 6.2%

Spread

40.9%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.6%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 7:30 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Rules

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

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Rules

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.