PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 13%Leader of 6 outcomes
December 31 13%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$279.1
Liquidity
$17.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$57K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
March 31Lost
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify.
- Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
- Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
- Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.