PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 31, 26, 10:48 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketWill the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip.
- Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
- A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
