Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.7%
Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Feb 5, 25, 5:57 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2030 be less than 1.5 million?
Manifold MarketsWill 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel build any settlements in the Gaza Strip by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill >90% of the Gaza Strip and Israel be part of the same country before 2035?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketRules
resolve YES if the United States is formally given control of the Gaza Strip by Israel and begins administering it, even if they don't have complete control over it due to Hamas.
- if the announced date of control is after the end of the year, this resolves NO
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/3qIK2Y5W8Fg)
