PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 92.1%
No 92.1%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$291.1
Liquidity
$13.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:08 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PolymarketWill the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify.
- Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
- US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
- High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.