Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Dec 14, 25, 11:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the two highest spikes for "Gaza" as a search term exceed 30% of it's September 2025 value in Google trends.
- (Region is worldwide and resolution will be done by looking at a 15 month time span).
