Current implied probability
No 51.5%
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.6
Liquidity
$5.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
48.0% / 49.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-2.5%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 3:46 PMAug 30, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes49%
Volume trend
$10Jul 323d of dataJul 27
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The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union.
- This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.