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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

PoliticsOne-OffElectionEurope2mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 50%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$4.6

Liquidity

$1.4K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

35.0% / 64.0%

Spread

82.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 10, 26, 3:58 PMAug 30, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes50%

Rules

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union.

Polymarket
  • This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
  • You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.

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Rules

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union.

Polymarket
  • This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
  • You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.