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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionEuropeChessSports6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 10%+1.0%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$4.2

Liquidity

$117.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

9.6% / 9.7%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Oct 18, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes10%

Rules

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.

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Rules

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.