KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 12, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBBCThe GuardianFinancial Times
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will France announce a snap election??
- Kalshi prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will France announce a snap election? resolve?
- When will France announce a snap election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will France announce a snap election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.