KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 13.0%
Spread
116.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 10:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall95% match · auto | High | 92% | +84pt | $1.6K | $8.4K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 94% | +86pt | $0 | $1.8K | 12 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
3.5%5mo
-0.0%92%
+0.0%8%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$115.6K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$221Jul 42d of dataJul 5
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If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.