KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 6.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Prediction Source Comparison
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President?
- Kalshi prices No at 95% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President resolve?
- Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Florentino Pérez leaves from being President of Real Madrid in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.