Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
7
7d Change
-1.2 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 9:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lai Ching-te impeached by which date?
PolymarketLai Ching-te departure announced?
KalshiWill Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
KalshiLai Ching-te visits US by which date?
PolymarketWill Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.