PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
June 30 27%
June 30 27%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$141.9
Liquidity
$12.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 48.0%
Spread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 9:23 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketLai Ching-te impeached by which date?
PolymarketLai Ching-te departure announced?
KalshiWill Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
KalshiWill Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin visits US by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States.
- Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.