What are the current odds for Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 84.9% as of October 9, 2026.

Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?

ChinaOne-Off2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 84.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Oct 21, 23, 6:28 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.