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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsChina18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$50.4

Liquidity

$14.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.7% / 1.4%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.3%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jan 2, 26, 1:20 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.