Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 4:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
December 31 3%
December 31 3%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.9% / 4.9%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 1:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketLai Ching-te departure announced?
KalshiWill Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
KalshiLai Ching-te visits US by which date?
PolymarketWill Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.