LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Other 60%Leader of 8 outcomes
Other 60%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 21, 26, 12:19 PM UTCNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
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KalshiWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome Jr. · Other.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 46%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 40%
- Also available on Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 48%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 45%
- Also available on Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 46%
- Also available on Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028