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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. North Carolina Senate margin of victory
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Democrats, 7+ pts
Democrats, 7+ pts 50%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$42.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

49.0% / 50.0%

Spread

2.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 28, 26, 1:02 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Democrats, 7+ pts50%

Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

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Mississippi Senate margin of victory

$4.5
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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

$3.8
Republicans, 17+ pts: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Georgia Governor margin of victory

Georgia Governor margin of victory

$3
Republicans, 5+ pts: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

$2.3
Republicans, 19+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Georgia Governor margin of victory

Georgia Governor margin of victory

$2
Democrats, 1+ pts: 57%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.