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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2033?
Manifold Markets

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2033?

PoliticsCrime & JusticeUS PoliticsCryptoRegulation7y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 24.6%
Forecasters

39

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale
Oct 26, 23, 9:17 PMJan 1, 34, 7:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes25%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

Related Markets

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Will SBF be pardoned?

$610.7
Yes: 27.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

$325.9
Yes: 16.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Trump pardon SBF?

$286.3
Yes: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$0
Above 50: 97%KalshiKALSHI
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$0
Angela Alsobrooks: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

$6.6K
Yes: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets