PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Xavier Becerra 93%-0.8%Leader of 45 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$11K
Liquidity
$6.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.4% / 7.5%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spread7d Change
-0.8%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 9, 25, 11:29 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Xavier Becerra93%
Compare venues· Xavier Becerra
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
California governor election winner
3mo
90%
7%
8%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$0
FUTUUR
Also available on Smarkets
California Governor Election Winner
6.3%
89.3%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$0
SMARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
California Governor winner?
0.2%1y
-0.2%7%
-0.1%92%
0%
+22 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$48.3M
24h Vol$65.8K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.0kJul 210d of dataJul 11
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This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.