PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Xavier Becerra 95%-0.1ptLeader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$6.4M
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
89
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 9, 25, 11:29 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
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Rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Xavier Becerra 95% · 5 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — California Governor Winner · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? (Person) · Xavier Becerra 97%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Xavier Becerra at 95% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does California Governor Election Winner resolve?
- California Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is California Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Where else is California Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Futuur, PredictIt, Robinhood (Rothera).