California Governor Election Margin of Victory
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms5d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Becerra 20-25% · —
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Stored reference
Becerra 20-25% 34.3%Leader of 9 outcomes
Becerra 20-25% 34.3%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$114.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Becerra 20-25%Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-12.5 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 7:21 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Becerra 20-25%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot.
- They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor margin of victory · Democrats, 9+ pts 97%
