What are the current odds for California governor election winner?

Futuur prices Xavier Becerra at 95% as of October 10, 2026.

When does California governor election winner resolve?

California governor election winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.

The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

Xavier Becerra 95%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Market quality

29 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$2.8K

Medium liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

This event aims to predict which candidate will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market containing the corresponding winner of the election will resolve to “Yes”, while all others will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by January 31, 2027, all markets will be cancelled.
Resolution is based on reporting by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Once all three sources call the race for the same candidate, this event will be resolved.
If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, Futuur will rely on official vote certification to resolve the event.