KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrats, 1+ pts 92%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$325.7
Low liquiditySpread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New Mexico Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi prices Democrats, 1+ pts at 92% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New Mexico Governor margin of victory resolve?
- New Mexico Governor margin of victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is New Mexico Governor margin of victory settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.