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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. New Mexico Governor margin of victory
New Mexico Governor margin of victory

New Mexico Governor margin of victory

6.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionLatin America1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Democrats, 10+ pts
Democrats, 10+ pts 61%+6.0%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$2.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

54.0% / 61.0%

Spread

13.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Democrats, 10+ pts61%

Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

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Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

$6.8
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South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

$6.5
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Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

$3.7
Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

$3.5
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.