KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRepublicans, 9+ pts 45%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.5
Liquidity
$6.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
30.0% / 37.0%
Spread
23.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 1:03 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Selected outcome
Republicans, 9+ pts45%
Related Markets
Maine Senate margin of victory
$39.5Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
$8James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
$6.8Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida Senate margin of victory
$3.7Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHINorth Carolina Senate margin of victory
$3.5Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KALSHI
KALSHICalifornia Governor Primary margin of victory
$1.2Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.News
U.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto News
Trump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto News
Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsRules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.