KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDemocrats, 10+ pts 80%+2.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$315
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
80.0% / 96.8%
Spread
21.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrats, 10+ pts80%
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.