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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

YearlyPoliticsGeopoliticsLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$24.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.3% / 1.4%

Spread

7.7%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-1.7%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jan 5, 26, 10:25 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.