FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Cuba 64%
Cuba 64%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Trends
Rules
This event predicts whether Colombia will close its embassies in the countries listed below at any point between August 18 and December 31, 2026.
- Each of the markets below covers one country and resolves on its own; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes".
- A market resolves to "Yes" if the Colombian embassy in that country is officially closed — that is, Colombia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Cancillería) officially confirms the closure or definitive cessation of operations of the embassy — with effect between August 18th and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Colombia time (04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027).
- Announcements of intent or planned closures that have not taken effect do not qualify on their own.
- Downgrading the mission (e.g., to chargé d'affaires level), recalling the ambassador, or a break in diplomatic relations without the embassy actually ceasing operations do not qualify by themselves.
- Conversely, an executed closure qualifies whether or not diplomatic relations are formally broken.
