PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 4%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.3% / 4.2%
Spread
27.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 6:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Volume trend
$93Jul 216d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
- Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.