Will US annex any territory in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsGeopoliticsLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%+0.1pt
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$35.4
Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.6% / 5.9%
Spread
1.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
7
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 6:59 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia annex territory from _____ in 2026?
FutuurWill Donald Trump annex Greenland into the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
- Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will US annex any territory in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will US annex any territory in 2026? resolve?
- Will US annex any territory in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will US annex any territory in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.