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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

0.5% (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$21.7

Liquidity

$14.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 10.0%

Spread

42.9%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jan 6, 26, 7:06 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
  • Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
  • Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.