PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12.2K
Medium liquidityComments
50
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 3:25 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketWill Russia annex territory from _____ in 2026?
FutuurWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
- Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $125K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Israel annex any territory by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, at 9% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Israel annex any territory by which date? resolve?
- Will Israel annex any territory by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Israel annex any territory by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.