PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$175.9
Liquidity
$15.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$13.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 5, 25, 7:38 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
- Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
