Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
6.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionLatin America1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 73%+6.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$583.3
Liquidity
$27.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 11:57 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 2:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
- If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.