PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 6:13 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Augusto CuryLost
Before close: 0% ·
Flávio BolsonaroLost
Before close: 4% ·
Lula da SilvaLost
Before close: 1% ·
Renan SantosLost
Before close: 0% ·
Romeu ZemaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Ronaldo CaiadoLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
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PolymarketWho will Trump endorse?
PolymarketWill Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
- If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
