PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 20°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
20°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
27%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
17°C7%
21°C44%
20°C100%
18°C1%
22°C or higher4%
12°C or below0%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
19°C9%
20°CWon
12°C or belowLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
21°CLost
22°C or higherLost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on 25 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.