Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79.4%
No 79.4%Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Apr 19, 23, 1:51 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:01 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiHighest temperature in Mexico City on October 8?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES after the MLB officially announces that a team will be based in Mexico City and that team plays a home game.
- Only the official announcement needs to occur before 1 January 2030; the home game may occur after 1 January 2030.