KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina (99%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 6:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Argentina
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityArgentina 99%+14.0ptLeader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$477K
Liquidity
$4.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 3:00 PMJul 7, 26, 6:19 PM
Probability Timeline
USA1%
Mexico49%
Brazil63%
England54%
France92%
Belgium99%
Portugal34%
Spain66%
Argentina99%
Egypt1%
99%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Argentina
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
60.5 ptsClosed
+60.5pt100%
+27.4pt100%
+52.0pt100%
+45 more outcomes
22 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$6M
24h Vol$66.7K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which countries will make the FIFA World Cup Quarter Finals?
Closed
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast46 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
Closed
99.5%
99.5%
95.6%
+7 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$159.5
24h Vol$10
LIMITLESSRules
If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If South Africa is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k55.0%KALSHIEgypt — Yes20d ago
KALSHIEgypt — Yes20d ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIColombia — Yes21d ago
KALSHIColombia — Yes21d ago$4.9k85.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yes21d ago
KALSHIArgentina — Yes21d ago$2.3k62.0%KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago
KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago
KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago$1.0k47.0%KALSHIBelgium — Yes21d ago
KALSHIBelgium — Yes21d ago$1.1k53.0%KALSHIEngland — No22d ago
KALSHIEngland — No22d ago$1.4k52.0%KALSHIMexico — Yes22d ago
KALSHIMexico — Yes22d agoVolume trend
$477.0kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If South Africa is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.