KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%+3.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$310.1
Liquidity
$15.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 12:35 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
LimitlessMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurRules
If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 29% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? resolve?
- Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.