PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
25 bps increase 47%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
73.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 6:57 PM UTCNov 19, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on September 25?
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 19, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Open markets
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66.3%
- No change-2.0pt32.7%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt65.7%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt30.5%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.5pt97%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.7pt2%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt1%
+10 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt61.8%
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt31.6%
- Hike >25bps3.1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $112.3K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-7.0pt49.5%
- 3 (75 bps)+8.0pt40.6%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8.9%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $647.2K
- 24h Vol
- $38.8K
- Fed Decision in December?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Fed decision in Jan 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South African Reserve Bank Decision in November??
- Polymarket prices 25 bps increase at 47% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does South African Reserve Bank Decision in November? resolve?
- South African Reserve Bank Decision in November? is scheduled to resolve on November 19, 2026.
- How is South African Reserve Bank Decision in November? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.