KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Exactly 0.3% (36%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 1:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 12:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Exactly 0.3%31%
Exactly 0.4%4%
Exactly 0.2%31%
Exactly 0.3%Won
Exactly 0.2%Lost
Exactly 0.1%Lost
Exactly 0.5%Lost
Exactly 0.4%Lost
Exactly 0.0%Lost
Exactly -0.2%Lost
Exactly -0.1%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price IndexBureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.1% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.0% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.3% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.