Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastSpider-Man: Brand New Day 78.1%+0.2ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
44
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Aug 10, 25, 10:29 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Avengers: Doomsday6%
Compare venues· Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall75% match · verified | High | 83% | — | $46.4K | $2M | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 78% | — | — | — | 18 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
5mo
83%
+1.0pt11%
-0.3pt3%
+25 more outcomes
89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$15.8M
24h Vol$46.4K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolves according to which movie Box Office Mojo lists as the #1 top grossing film in the United States in 2026 (using calendar gross).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nomsnyder9h ago
POLYMARKETWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nomsnyder9h ago$2.7k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nokonstanova5d ago
POLYMARKETWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nokonstanova5d ago$1.1k95.9%POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Noxiaogaoxing5d ago
POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Noxiaogaoxing5d ago$3.1k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nobitbroker696d ago
POLYMARKETWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nobitbroker696d ago$1.3k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nohklcrypt11d ago
POLYMARKETWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nohklcrypt11d ago$1.4k99.8%POLYMARKETWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nohklcrypt13d ago
POLYMARKETWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Nohklcrypt13d agoVolume trend
$100Jul 117d of dataJul 27
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolves according to which movie Box Office Mojo lists as the #1 top grossing film in the United States in 2026 (using calendar gross).