Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastJack Lowden 42.2%Leader of 31 outcomes
Forecasters
89
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 20, 23, 6:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond actor?
PolymarketWho will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise?
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Manifold MarketsWho will be the next James Bond after No Time to Die?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurRules
I added some plausible candidates; feel free to add new names!
- Market will resolve when the actor or actress for the role of 007 in the next EON/Amazon James Bond movie has definitely been cast (say when production is underway; or it otherwise seems unambigiously final who will have the role).
