Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 31.8%Leader of 33 outcomes
Forecasters
45
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 22, 3:24 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 2:55 AM UTC
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond (after "No Time To Die")
FutuurWho will be officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurRules
Daniel Craig has retired as James Bond.
- This question is looking for the next lead performer in the franchise.
- Technically they don't have to be 007 or named James Bond as they could deviate from this exact formula.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 32% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? resolve?
- Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Daniel Craig has retired as James Bond.