Will Anthropic's closing price be greater than its opening price on its first trading day?
Corporate ActionsCustomAI3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 78.9%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 26, 3:46 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
This market is about Anthropic's stock price on its first public trading day after an IPO.
- Resolving rules
- This market will resolve YES if Anthropic has an IPO before this market closes (2030-01-01) and the regular-market closing price on its first public trading day is strictly greater than the regular-market opening price on that same day.
- This market will resolve NO if Anthropic has an IPO before this market closes (2030-01-01) and the regular-market closing price on its first public trading day is less than or equal to the regular-market opening price on that same day.
- If close > open, this resolves YES.
- If close == open, this resolves NO.
