KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Paramount (99%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 2:27 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 2:23 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Netflix2%
Paramount99%
None before July 20271%
ParamountWon
NetflixLost
None before July 2027Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Warner Brothers' official investor relations website or press releasesWarner Brothers' official government filingsNetflix's official investor relations website or press releasesParamount's official investor relations website or press releasesNetflix's government filingsParamount's government filingsBloomberg NewsReutersThe Wall Street JournalThe Financial TimesCNBCThe New York TimesThe Associated PressABC NewsBBC News
- A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest ( 50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived.
- Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify.
- Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria.
- If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes.
- The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.