KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Paramount 81%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 9:45 PMJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Warner Brothers' official investor relations website or press releasesWarner Brothers' official government filingsNetflix's official investor relations website or press releasesParamount's official investor relations website or press releasesNetflix's government filingsParamount's government filingsBloomberg NewsReutersThe Wall Street JournalThe Financial TimesCNBCThe New York TimesThe Associated PressABC NewsBBC News
- A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived.
- Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify.
- Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria.
- If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes.
- The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Paramount is 81%. Quotes span about 4 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Paramount 81% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86%
- Yes-3.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt54%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-8.0pt48%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt33%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,96%
- October 31,-11.0pt79%
- October 15,-42.0pt24%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+5.0pt98%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+7.0pt96%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-2.0pt93%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+10.0pt68%
- Before May 1, 2027+28.0pt58%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+23.0pt51%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+6.0pt97%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-3.0pt92%
- Before Aug 8, 20261%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras before 2027?
- Which banks will take Anthropic public?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers??
- Kalshi prices Paramount at 81% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? resolve?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.
- How is Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.